Showing posts with label Count Back Line. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Count Back Line. Show all posts

Chart Watch 2007-01-11

Thursday, January 11, 2007


Riversdale Mining Limited (RIV) closed below our set stop loss today. As part of our trading rules we should look to exit tomorrow.

Reconfirmation of the trend if the 3, 5, 8 EMA start to turn upwards over the next coulple of days. If you look close to the end of November this was the case.

Traders with positions should close as per our trading rules. Reconfirmation of trend can signal a new oppotunity of entry and RIV will stay on our watch list.

Eastern Star (ESG) again closed on our stop loss.

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Joining Trend

Wednesday, January 10, 2007

I’ve been reading a candlestick trading book and when I reached the end I was extremely disappointed. The book discussed the full range of candlestick formations, and the psychology behind them but it didn’t discuss how to trade the setups. No entry, exit or failure rules were defined.

After coming to this conclusion about the book, I realized this blog has missed an important step on how I trade. I blogged about an entry in ESG that was possible when it bounced above the count back line, but that isn’t a situation I have ever traded or will. The count back line isn’t intended to be traded this way. Trend trading isn’t about picking bottoms. It’s about joining an established trend, or joining an established trend after it has re-confirmed continuation.

Joining an established trend is an easy scan using MarketNinja or most scanning programs. I look for consistent separation of the short and long term Guppy MMA. I then look for an entry with minimal risk, which is close to our count back stop loss and provides me with minimal risk.

Joining an established trend after it has re-confirmed continuation (pullbacks) is about waiting till after the short term group has contracted, and indicators show the 3, 5 and 8 EMA’s are again separating. This provides more confidence that the trend is intact an entry is available at less risk than guessing the trend will continue.

Trend trading is about using our defined indicators to determine entry and exit of all trades. Using each indicator as its intended will provide the most profitable results. I hope to has some examples of each of these setups in coming blogs.

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Sunland Group, SDG

Monday, January 8, 2007


Sunland Group (SDG) closed below our stop loss of $3.53. The rules say exit so out we go tomorrow.

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Count Back Line

Thursday, January 4, 2007

The Count Back Line is a indicator I currently use as a stop loss for my trades. After using the Market Ninja software and finding a stock that fits the Guppy MMA indicator, I plot count back lines to my chart to see if this stock is a candidate to use this as a stop loss. Some stocks that fit the Guppy MMA are still too volatile for this trading strategy and I find that back fitting the count back line indicator to a chart helps produce reliable trades.

I'm trying to find stocks that haven't broken the count back line for at least 2 months. These stocks are in a strong uptrend as defined by the Guppy MMA and are not choppy, causing me to be stopped out.

Below is an example of Riversdale Mining Limited (ASX:RIV).



The indicator at 2006-09-13 shows the last time the stock close below the count back line. This chart demonstrates an excellent trend trading opportunity.

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