RIO Offer no longer in the best interest of shareholders

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

The bids off for RIO, according to the latest release by BHP. Citing worsening market conditions and divesting demands from the European regulators, the $US66 billion ($A104 billion) bid has been pulled sending RIO price down 37% in early London trade.

Marius Kloppers, BHP Billiton’s CEO, said:

“We have previously said that similar cultures and the overlap of key assets and
infrastructure make this a compelling combination. Recent global events and associated falls in commodity prices have, however, altered risk dimensions. BHP Billiton is very focused on balance sheet strength. Accordingly, the greater debt exposure of the combination plus the difficulty of divesting assets have increased the risks to shareholder value to an unacceptable level.“

In a statement release the same day, BHP has also approved a $US4.8 billion ($A7.35 billion) investment to expand its iron ore operations in the Pilbara by 32 per cent to 205 million tonnes per annum. With substantial uncertainty in the short term outlook of iron Ore, this is confidence boost to the long term view held by BHP.

Speculation has commenced on many forums relating to the direction BHP will take from here. Included are; Wait for RIO to continue to fall and initiate a new offer at a cheaper price, purchase other mid-tier producers or near term producers, Make a play for oil producer WPL and/or make a play for iron ore producer FMG.

More likely short term initiatives may include share buy back, or a new direction to sit on cash until the financial turmoil eases.

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Chart Watch 2008-06-12

Thursday, June 12, 2008

XJO - ASX 200



BHP - BHP



AMP - AMP



Respecting the 100MA and looks to be forming a triangle, looking for a break lower.

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Chart Watch 2008-06-03

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

XJO - S&P ASX 200



XJo showing signs of weekness again with the current trend line being broken. Looking at 100MA for support now.

XJO - S&P ASX Financials



XFJ was a great short on the 22nd of May. 100 MA resisted the uptrend and also broke the current uptrend.

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Stop Loss Matters

Please see my Blog discussing setting a stop loss . The latest post is using ATR as a stop loss.

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Chart Watch 2008-05-29

Thursday, May 29, 2008

XJO - S&P ASX 200



As displayed in my last post , the XJO was sitting right on a current trend line. This line has since been breached. XJO now lookig for support at the 100MA, and the 32.5% Fibonacci Retracement.

On the 5/4/2005 Colin Twiggs indicated potential resistance at the 5900-6000 level which looks to be playing out.

"The All Ordinaries broke above short-term resistance at 5450 on heavy volume and is headed for a test of resistance at 5900/6000. Resistance is expected to hold because of the bear market, but continued advances on strong volume would increase the chance of a breakout. "

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