Chart Watch 2009-03-05

XAO - All Ordinaries 

The DOW closed up overnight 149.82 points to 6875.84 (2.23%) after 5 days of selling.  The Dow failed to break back through 7000. 

The All Ordinaries has  had an un-eventful day failing to regain the lose of the previous trading day.  The XAO closed up 21.2 points to finish at 3147.1 (0.68%).   I was looking for the high of the previous day (3171.4) to be taken out and stick, but our market was a bit more cautious than the DOW and the high for today of 3177.1 failed to hold.

XAO still showing oversold on CCI(14) and Stochastic. 
Shorter term oversold Williams %R (3) and RSI(2) are not.

Today’s headlines
Chinese 8% Growth Target
Housing Sector ‘May have turned corner’
Minemakers launches takeover of Bonaparte

XJI - ASX Information Technology
One of the stronger sectors on the ASX is the XIJ or Information Technology sector.  Support looks to be in at 399 

PAG – PrimeAg
Support now become resistance on this agriculture stock.  3 times the stock price had tested the $1.05 level.  Above average volume today to close a further 5% lower at $0.97

Quick Trends

Symbol	Short Term (10MA)	Medium Term (50MA)	Long Term (200EMA)
XAO	Down	Neutral	Down
XDJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XEJ	Neutral	Neutral	Down
XFJ	Down	Down	Down
XHJ	Down	Up	Down
XIJ	Down	Up	Down
XMJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XTJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XUJ	Down	Down	Down

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Chart Watch 2009-03-04

XAO - All Ordinaries

The first decline in Australia's GDP for eight years was reported today with a fall 0.5 per cent in the December quarter.  The All Ordinaries followed to close at a five and a half year low to 3,125.90 or 1.43%.

Fears of recession took hold of traders with the next 6 months looking a lot gloomy, and all sectors took a hit. 

The world markets are anticipating another Chinese stimulus package to be announced that could help limit the length and depth of the recession in the

industrialized world.

LST – Lionsel
LST came up on my TAZ scan yesterday and today a confirmation candle formed.  Volume is too light for me to take a position, and like all bullish trades, against the market timing.

1. Pulled back to Traders Action Zone

2. Respected support and 50% Fib
3. ADX above 25 indicating start of a trend

4. First pullback

Quick Trends

Symbol	Short Term (10MA)	Medium Term (50MA)	Long Term (200EMA)
XAO	Down	Neutral	Down
XDJ	Down	Down	Down
XEJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XFJ	Down	Down	Down
XHJ	Down	Up	Neutral
XIJ	Down	Up	Down
XMJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XTJ	Down	Down	Down
XUJ	Down	Down	Down

Read more...

Chart Watch 2009-03-03

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

XAO - All Ordinaries

 

The DOW slid to 12-year lows overnight to its first close below 7,000 since May 1997.  The All Ordinaries closed at down 32.4 points to 3171.4 , the lowest level since December 2003.

Two-thirds of the initial loss were regained after the the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates on hold at 3.25 per cent, a 45-year low.  Economists are predicting the RBA is leaving itself available to provide further cuts in the near future.

  

AMP - AMP

Anyone interested in catching a knife?

Quick Trends

Symbol	Short Term (10MA)	Medium Term (50MA)	Long Term (200EMA)
XAO	Down	Neutral	Down
XDJ	Down	Down	Down
XEJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XFJ	Down	Down	Down
XHJ	Down	Up	Down
XIJ	Down	Up	Down
XMJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XTJ	Down	Neutral	Down
XUJ	Down	Down	Down

Read more...

Chart Watch 2009-03-02

 

 

XAO - All Ordinaries
The All Ordinaries closed down 96.4 points to

3200.5 (-2.92%), on news US the economy shrank at its fastest pace in more than a quarter of a century. 

The low for the day was 3190.7, the lowest level in 5 years.

The RBA board will hold its monthly meeting tomorrow, with some predictions of another 100 basis points cut.  Wednesday figures will be released showing if the Australia economy shrank or not in recent months.  The government is hoping the stimulus package in December and another looming in March will prevent a large contraction.

Read more...

Chart Watch 2009-03-01

XAO - All Ordinaries



Three trading days in a row closing below 3300, with multiple attempts to break through. All trends on the XAO still pointing down.

WOW - Woolworths



Wow indeed. Late last week I highlighted Woolworths ... made the critical mistake of not checking the economic calendar. Earnings come out below expectations and gapped down well under my stop loss (open $26.9). Take the hit on this one.

JBH - JB Hi-Fi



JBH has created a throwback patten. "A throwback is simply a return to the point of breakout on an upward break ... If the breakout is true, price should hit and then bounce off the point of breakout and then surpass the point at which momentum waned and price turned".

Some rules for trading the throwback

1. Return to point support, trend line or pivot point

2. Oversold on your favorite indicator

3. Pullback to a major moving average, such as the 30, 50, or 200 day.

So how as JBH played out so far:
* Resistance was $10.30 (5/11/2008) and $10.26 (7/01/2009)
* 17% gain on 10/02/2009 closing at $10.80 on extremely high volume
* Pullback to support closing $10.29 and just below 200EMA on 25/02/2009
* RSI(2) was oversold on pullback to support (25/02/2009)
* Stock pulled back into the traders action zone

See how this stock plays out. Stop loss ideas include $10.26 (support) or take low from swing at $10.05.

From swing-trade-stocks "Forget buying breakouts. Step away from the crowd. Wait for the breakout buyers to get scared and sell. This sets up the pullback that you can get into with low risk, high odds, and a profitable reward."

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